The Computational Propaganda Project

Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford

Improving Predictive Accuracy in Elections

Abstract:┬áThe problem of accurately predicting vote counts in elections is considered in this article. Typically, small-sample polls are used to estimate or predict election outcomes. In this study, a machine-learning hybrid approach is proposed. This approach utilizes multiple sets of static data sources, such as voter registration data, and dynamic data sources, such as polls…

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