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Improving Predictive Accuracy in Elections

Abstract: The problem of accurately predicting vote counts in elections is considered in this article. Typically, small-sample polls are used to estimate or predict election outcomes. In this study, a machine-learning hybrid approach is proposed. This approach utilizes multiple sets of static data sources, such as ...

2017-12-14T11:36:55+00:00 December 14th, 2017|Academic Articles, Journal Special Issues|

The Most Important Lesson From the Dust-Up Over Trump’s Fake Twitter Followers

Project members Tim Hwang and Sam Woolley have a new article in Slate discussing bots that follow political candidates. Let’s be clear: Coordinated campaigns of misinformation and manipulation on social media are absolutely real and are becoming an increasingly prominent component of the online media ...

2017-06-02T13:53:30+00:00 June 2nd, 2017|Public Scholarship|

Trump, Putin and the New Cold War

Our project research on the US Election was mentioned in the New Yorker. On April 12, 1982, Yuri Andropov, the chairman of the K.G.B., ordered foreign-intelligence operatives to carry out “active measures”—aktivniye meropriyatiya—against the reëlection campaign of President Ronald Reagan. Unlike classic espionage, which involves ...

2017-02-27T06:19:21+00:00 February 27th, 2017|In the News|

Automated Pro-Trump Overwhelmed Pro-Clinton Messages, Researchers Say

The project's research on the US Presidential Election was covered in The New York Times. An automated army of pro-Donald J. Trump chatbots overwhelmed similar programs supporting Hillary Clinton five to one in the days leading up to the presidential election, according to a report ...

2016-11-18T13:24:24+00:00 November 18th, 2016|In the News|

How Bots, Twitter, and Hackers Pushed Trump to the Finish Line

The project's research on the 2016 US election was covered in Wiired. Following the third debate, automated pro-Trump accounts on Twitter pumped out seven times more messages than pro-Clinton accounts. Most of these accounts, it turned out, were powered by chatbots: the newest tool in computational propaganda. “It’s ...

2016-11-12T14:20:46+00:00 November 12th, 2016|In the News|